In my previous article, I described how an artificial intelligence would behave at picking stocks by looking at price data only. While the model performed slightly better than random, it gave me no reason to use this model as an advisor for my investments. Meanwhile, after spending eight months in the valley-of-despair of A.I., I … Continue reading Fundamental analysis with A.I.
Artificial Intelligence is currently a hot topic, having an impact in many areas, like image recognition, text generation and data science. One topic, I am curious about is, if and how artificial intelligence is doing with highly random and noisy data, as it appears in short-term-price-fluctuations on the stock market. From programming courses in artificial … Continue reading Experiment: artificial intelligence vs. buy and hold
This article describes an advancement of the logistic growth model, described in a previous article. The logistic growth model will be used for predicting future revenues and earnings of a company. The model is especially suitable for high growth companies in order to give a clue of the value of the company. For companies at … Continue reading Advanced growth model
The security market line (graph 1) is a well known concept in the finance world. It shows the dependency between expected return and risk (which is often measured by volatility). Graph 1: The security market line This model is widely used for finding a trade-off between return and risk. The more risk an investor is … Continue reading What does the security market line look like in reality?
Ideas on economics - by Martin Etzl 